Travel patterns before and during an epidemic influence the spread of infection and public health effects. At the same time, epidemics can have lasting impacts on travel behavior, land-use, and energy demand, and health outcomes, often borne disproportionately by vulnerable groups. These have significant implications on the planning and operation of cities and transport systems. This workshop will identify and discuss research questions on integrated modeling and planning of land-use, travel demand, epidemic spread, health effects, and energy consumption. The workshop will include an introduction to modeling tools in the energy consumption and/or epidemiology areas, which can be used for integrating with land-use and travel demand models.
Each presentation will be 15-20 minutes, followed by a 5-minute short Q&A.
After all the presentations, there will be about one hour for panel discussions, discussing each topic and means of integrating the approaches in the land-use, travel demand, epidemic spread, health effects, and energy consumption to develop integrated frameworks.
Professor Eric J. Miller (BASc, MASc University of Toronto; PhD Massachusetts Institute of Technology) has been a faculty member in the Department of Civil & Mineral Engineering, University of Toronto since 1983, where he is currently Director of the UofT Transportation Research Institute. He is past-Chair of the US Transportation Research Board (TRB) Committee on Travel Behavior and Values and the International Association for Travel Behaviour Research (IATBR). He is a Member Emeritus of the TRB Transportation Demand Forecasting Committee. He is the recipient of the Institute of Transportation Engineers 2009 Wilbur S. Smith Distinguished Educator Award, the inaugural winner of the University of British Columbia Margolese National Design for Living Award (2012), the 2018 IATBR Lifetime Achievement Award, and the 2020 UofT Faculty of Applied Science and Engineering Safwat Zaky Research Leader Award
Marianne Kah is an Adjunct Senior Research Scholar and Member of the Advisory Board at Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy. She is also on the Advisory Board for the Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin. She had been the Chief Economist of ConocoPhillips for 25 years where she was responsible for developing the company’s market outlooks for oil and natural gas, and was the company’s expert in scenario planning. She is the Past President of the U.S. Association for Energy Economics and is co-chairing the Energy Roundtable for the National Association for Business Economics. She has also chaired the American Petroleum Institute’s Committee on Economics and Statistics.
Dr. Lewis Fulton has worked internationally in the field of transport/energy/environment analysis and policy development for 30 years. He is Director of the Sustainable Transportation Energy Pathways (STEPS+) program within the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Davis. There he leads a range of research activities around new vehicle technologies and new fuels. He was a lead author on the recent IPCC 5th Assessment Report, Mitigation (“Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change”, transport chapter). Current projects include analyses of electric vehicles, shared mobility, automation, and other drivers of transportation futures. He investigates the costs, energy, GHG, employment and other aspects of changing transportation trends and alternative futures. From 2007-2012 he was a Senior Transport Specialist with the International Energy Agency, Paris, as well as Division Head for Energy Technology Policy during 2011-2012. He returned to the IEA in 2007 after working there originally from 1999-2005. At the IEA Lew led the development of the Mobility Model and directed transport-related analysis connected with the Energy Technology Perspectives series of publications. During 2006-2007 he worked in Kenya with the UN Environment Program, developing and implementing GEF-funded sustainable transport projects around the world. During the 1990s he also worked at the US Department of Energy for 4 years, and taught at the Independent University of Bangladesh and the University of Maryland.
Dr. Joshua Auld is a Principal Computational Transportation Engineer and Manager of the Transportation Systems and Mobility team in the Vehicle and Mobility Simulations Group at the Argonne National Laboratory Center for Transportation Research. He is an expert in agent-based modeling, behavioral analysis, transportation simulation and travel data collection and is the lead designer of the POLARIS transportation simulation system. His research focuses on traveler behavior and decision making - from both a modeling and data collection perspective - and the impact that connectivity, automation and control have on travel demand and transportation. Dr. Auld received his Doctorate from the University of Illinois at Chicago in 2011 in Civil and Materials Engineering. He is the author of over 50 peer reviewed journal articles, book chapters and editorials, and is currently a member of the TRB Transportation Demand Forecasting and Traffic Simulation Committees.
Dr. Zach Needell is a Project Scientist in the Sustainable Energy and Environmental Systems Department at Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, where he co-leads development of the BEAM model. His research interests include travel demand modeling, energy system modeling, and mobility, climate, and energy policy. He holds a PhD in Transportation from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where his research focused on integrating behavioral factors and transportation system modeling into evaluating emerging energy technologies.
Janice Godfrey is an environmental scientist in EPA’s Emissions Inventory and Analysis Group, working on mobile source emissions. She has a BS in Atmospheric Science from the University of Michigan and MS in Environmental Engineering from Georgia Tech. She has been with EPA for 10 years. Prior to working for EPA she developed emission inventories for the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality.
COVID-19 & Urban Dynamics: Some Reflections
Eric Miller, University of Toronto
The Impact of COVID-19 on Transportation and Oil Demand to 2030
Marianne Kah, Columbia University
Lewis Fulton, University of California, Davis
Modeling the Transportation System Impacts of COVID Mitigation and Recovery in the Chicago Metro Area using POLARIS
Joshua Auld, Argonne National Laboratory
Integrated Transportation System Modeling of the New York City Metropolitan Area under COVID-19 Response using BEAM
Zachary Needell, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Use of Telematics Data to Improve On-Road Emissions Characterization
Janice Godfrey, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
DISCLAIMER: All information shared in the TRB Annual Meeting Online Program is subject to change without notice. Changes, if necessary, will be updated in the Online Program and this page is the final authority on schedule information.